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| Titel |
Changes in the percentage of area under drought in Europe during this century |
| VerfasserIn |
C. Fox Maule, P. Thejll |
| Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2012
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| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
| Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 14 (2012) |
| Datensatznummer |
250066308
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| Zusammenfassung |
| We have investigated how the percentage of area under drought in eight different
European regions change during this century as predicted by a suite of
different climate models, all part of the ENSEMBLES database. The models
consist of several different regional climate models nested in a few different
GCMs all giving different predictions of the future climate. All the models
included in this study have a resolution of about 25 km and are run under the
A1B greenhouse-gas emission scenario. To identify drought, we use two
different drought indices, the Standardized Precipitation Index and the
slightly more sophisticated self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index. We
find a clear North-South difference in the tendencies; in the southern regions
the area under drought increases during this century, while in the
Scandinavian region the area under drought decreases with time. |
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