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Titel Is the Atlantic subpolar gyre bistable in comprehensive coupled climate models?
VerfasserIn Amandus Born, T. F. Stocker, C. C. Raible, A. Levermann
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2012
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 14 (2012)
Datensatznummer 250063493
 
Zusammenfassung
The Atlantic subpolar gyre is one of the main drivers of decadal climate variability in the North Atlantic. The present study systematically analyzes its dynamics in pre-industrial control simulations of 19 different comprehensive coupled climate models. The analysis is based on a recently proposed description of the SPG dynamics that found the circulation to be potentially bistable due to a positive feedback mechanism including salt advection and enhanced deep convection in the SPG center. We employ a statistical method to identify multiple equilibria in time series that are subject to strong noise and analyze composite fields to assess whether the bistability results from the hypothesized feedback mechanism. Due to dominant noise in most models, only four models show two detectable metastable circulation modes, whereof three confirm the importance of the positive feedback mechanism.