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Titel Mechanisms for changing ecology in tropical forests
VerfasserIn Simon Lewis, Stephen Sitch, Chris Huntingford, Pierre Friedlingstein, Rainfor Team
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2011
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 13 (2011)
Datensatznummer 250057112
 
Zusammenfassung
Global environmental changes are likely altering the ecology of tropical forests (Lewis et al., 2009). Here we make a detailed comparison of forest plot data at over 1,900 sites across the pan-tropic for the period 1970-2010 with results from five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) (Sitch et al., 2008; Le Quere et al., 2009). Firstly, we will evaluate the models in their ability to simulate observed changes in biomass over this period, and then use factorial simulation experiments to ascertain the likely drivers of change across the pan-tropical regions. We use detection and attribution techniques to ascertain the contributions of individual climate drivers (Temperature, Precipitation, Cloud cover) and atmospheric composition (CO2 concentration) to explain the observed changes in biomass.