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Titel Estimating the Impact of Precipitation and Temperature Variability on the Contribution Potential of Glaciers to Water Availability: A Budget Approach
VerfasserIn Thomas Schönthaler, Ben Marzeion, Martin Großhauser, Georg Kaser Link zu Wikipedia
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2011
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 13 (2011)
Datensatznummer 250048828
 
Zusammenfassung
Detrimental changes due to shrinking glaciers are universally expected for water availability in river systems under the influence of ongoing global climate change. Using a budget approach, Kaser et al. (2010) estimated the contribution potential of glaciers to water availability in large river basins based on the assumption of a climate-glacier equilibrium. In the work presented here, we develop this approach further by taking into account temperature and precipitation variability: Based on the seasonal relation between temperature and melt water production in the equilibrium case, a temperature sensitivity of melt water production is derived. Then, observed temperature variability from gridded data sets is employed to estimate glacier melt water production variability in large river basins. Similarly, we take into account observed precipitation variability in order to compare the different impact that precipitation and temperature variability have on the relative importance of glacier melt as an input into the hydrological system. However, we do not consider hydrological processes influencing the actual run-off, and consequently, the validation of the results for selected basins and time periods with existing high quality run-off measurements has to be considered with care.