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Titel The IERS Earth Orientation Parameters Combination of Prediction Pilot Project (EOPCPPP)
VerfasserIn Brian Luzum, Wieslaw Kosek, Nathan Shumate, Maciej Kalarus
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2011
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 13 (2011)
Datensatznummer 250048624
 
Zusammenfassung
Ensemble predictions make use of sampling the "prediction space" by using various algorithms and potentially different, but still likely, initial conditions. By producing different predictions and combining the results, these ensemble predictions are more accurate than the results from individual predictions. The IERS has initiated a pilot project to determine the feasbility of combining EOP predictions on an operational basis. To date, the project has eight EOP prediction contributors with three of these contributors also planning on producing ensemble EOP predictions. Auxiliary data sets are also being studied to determine their potential contribution to the project. Initial findings from the EOPCPPP will be reported and future plans will be discussed.