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Titel Integration of Near-fault Earthquake Ground Motion Simulations in Damage and Loss Estimation Procedures.
VerfasserIn E. Faccioli, S. Lagomarsino, K. Demartinos, C. Smerzini, M. Stuppazzini, M. Vanini, M. Villani, A. Smolka, A. Allmann
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2010
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 12 (2010)
Datensatznummer 250045067
 
Zusammenfassung
In this contribution we investigate the advantages and/or limitations of integrating standard approaches for damage and loss estimation procedures with synthetic data from 3D large scale numerical simulations, capable to reproduce the coupling of near-fault conditions, including the focal mechanism of the source and directivity effects, and complex geological configurations, such as deep alluvial basins or irregular topographic profiles. As a matter of fact, the largest portion of damage and losses during a major earthquake occur in near-field conditions, where earthquake ground motion is typically poorly constrained based on standard attenuation relationships, that may not be based on a sufficiently detailed description both of the seismic source and of the local geological conditions. As a case study we decided to use a scenario earthquake of Mw 6.4 occurring in the town of Sulmona, Italy along the active Mount Morrone fault. The area, located only 40 km south of l’Aquila, was selected in the frame of the Italian Project S2 (DPC-INGV 2007-2009) thanks to the amount of geological and seismological information that allowed on one hand to perform near-fault 3D earthquake ground motion simulations, and, on the other side, a reliable quantification of the potential damage thanks to the accurate data characterizing the building stocks. The 3D simulations have been carried out through a high performance Spectral Elements tool, namely GeoELSE (http://geoelse.stru.polimi.it), designed to study linear, non-linear viscoelastic and viscoplastic wave propagation analyses in large-scale earth models, including the seismic source, the propagation path, the local near-surface geology, and, if needed, the interaction with man-made structures . The parallel implementation of the code GeoELSE ensures a reasonable computer time to resolve tens of million of degrees of freedom up to 2.5 Hz. Damage and loss evaluations based on the results of numerical simulations are compared with standard approaches (i.e. based on GMPEs), in order to quantify the advantages and reliability of a more sophisticated approach.