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Titel Influence of orbitally-induced climate change on the occurrence of the Central Pacific El Niño
VerfasserIn O. Salau, W. Park, M. Latif, B. Schneider
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2010
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 12 (2010)
Datensatznummer 250041743
 
Zusammenfassung
Climate models predict an increase in the occurrence of the Central Pacific El Niño (CP) in a future warmer climate (Yeh et al., 2009). Here we used a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice model to investigate the sensitivitiy of the CP to changes in climate induced by variations in orbital parameters as occurred during the Holocene (9.5kyr BP - preindustrial) and the Eemian (126kyr -115kyr BP). Both periods undergo similar changes in the orbital parameters (obliquity, precession) but with more pronounced amplitude during the Eemian. The ratio (CP/EP) of the Central Pacific El Niño (CP) to the Eastern Pacific El Niño (EP) peaks in the middle of both periods (Mid-Holocene, Mid-Eemian). In contrast to Yeh et al. (2009), we find that a higher occurrence of the CP is manifested by increasing SST in the NINO4-box (160E:150W, 5N:5S) and a greater thermocline depth in the Warm Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP), resulting in a stronger east to west thermocline gradient. However, as the driving mechanisms for the CP are not very well understood, its relation to low frequency internal climate variability needs further investigation.