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Titel POSSIBLE PRECESSIONAL, SUB-PRECESSIONAL AND GLACIAL/INTERGLACIAL OZONE LAYER MODULATION FROM CH3Br AND CH3Cl
VerfasserIn Kostas Kourtidis, Kleareti Tourpali
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2010
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 12 (2010)
Datensatznummer 250038809
 
Zusammenfassung
Present knowledge presents some circumstantial evidence that precessional, sub-precessional and/or glaciation/deglaciation oceanic productivity variations might have led to increases in the atmospheric abundance of methyl bromide and methyl chloride. Although it is difficult to quantify the magnitude of these increases, we present some calculations here showing that we cannot rule out, based on present knowledge, that they might have been up to five-fold. The impact of five-fold increases in the preindustrial holocene atmospheric abundance of these two gases on the ozone layer is examined with a 2-D model. Simulations predict significant decreases in the mean annual total ozone column (up to 6% locally). During October, ozone depletion at 75 deg S simulated decreases were up to 70% locally. These results indicate that if Milankovitch variations in the CH3Cl and CH3Br natural emissions have resulted in changes of their atmospheric abundances in the past, they could have induced a significant biospheric forcing to the total ozone column. Advances in our present knowledge on the natural biogeochemical mechanisms that regulate the production and exchange of biogenic gases between the ocean and the atmosphere are needed to validate and better quantify the results presented here.