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Titel Stochastic Precipitation Downscaling with Orographic Corrections
VerfasserIn Elisa Brussolo, Jost von Hardenberg, Nicola Rebora, Antonello Provenzale
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2010
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 12 (2010)
Datensatznummer 250032158
 
Zusammenfassung
Few existing stochastic precipitation downscaling methods take into account orography, even if orographic precipitation plays an important role in determining precipitation intensities at small scales, particularly in Alpine areas. In this work we present a modification of the RainFARM stochastic downscaling method (Rebora et al. 2006) in order to take into account orographic effects. The model is calibrated using an orographic signature obtained from a database of 450 pluviometric timeseries in North-Western Italy from 2004 to 2008. An out-of-sample verification is performed on data from 2009. We discuss the limitations and the applicability of this approach to downscaling of climate scenarios. References: N. Rebora, L. Ferraris, J. von Hardenberg, A. Provenzale, 2006: RainFARM: Rainfall Downscaling by a Filtered Autoregressive Model. J. Hydrometeorology, 7, 724-738.