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Titel Model simulations of stratospheric ozone loss caused by enhanced H2O due to increased H2 emissions during the Arctic winter 2004/2005
VerfasserIn B. Vogel, T. Feck, J.-U. Grooß
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2009
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 11 (2009)
Datensatznummer 250022554
 
Zusammenfassung
Stratospheric simulations with the Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere (CLaMS) were performed within the EUROHYDROS project to study the impact of potential future stratospheric H2O increases due to potentially increased H2 emissions during the Arctic winter 2004/2005. For that, full hydrogen-relevant chemistry was incorporated into the model. First, box model studies for a single ascending air parcel in the tropical stratosphere were used to estimate the oxidation of H2 and CH4 and the inferred additional H2O production from potential increased H2 emissions. This study is based on four H2 scenarios that reflect the ongoing discussion about the potential increase of atmospheric H2 due to leakages caused by a future hydrogen economy. In our study we use the H2 scenario with the highest additional amount of H2O up to 0.56 ppmv for Arctic winter conditions. It has been asserted that this case is unrealistic due to the high leakage rate assumption, nevertheless in our studies this case is used as upper limit to calculate the expected future maximum ozone loss caused by enhanced H2O due to increased H2 emissions. We compare simulated ozone loss for the Arctic winter 2004/2005 which shows a very good agreement with satellite measurements to simulated ozone loss with enhanced stratospheric H2O values. Locally up to 6 – 7% more ozone loss is deduced in the simulations with enhanced H2O mixing ratios and up to approximately 7 DU higher ozone loss for the Arctic polar winter 2004/2005. This case is a clear upper limit of future potential ozone loss caused by increasing H2O values due to H2 emissions. However, enhanced H2O values have also an impact on the radiative forcing of the atmosphere, therefore the decrease in temperature will be also considered. Overall, increasing H2 emissions due to leakages caused by a future hydrogen economy is an additional variability