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Titel Drier Mediterranean Soils due to Greenhouse Warming bring easterly Winds over Summertime Central Europe
VerfasserIn R. J. Haarsma, F. M. Selten, B. vd Hurk, W. Hazeleger, X. Wang
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2009
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 11 (2009)
Datensatznummer 250021525
 
Zusammenfassung
A robust result of greenhouse warming runs with global climate models is the depletion of soil moisture in southern and central Europe in summer. This leads to a strong increase in surface temperatures as a result of the accompanying reduction of the surface cooling by evaporation. Analyses of simulations with the ECHAM5/OMI and EC-EARTH global climate models demonstrate that this causes a large-scale heat low response in the lower atmosphere. At its northern flank this brings easterly winds over Central Europe. A statistical analyses of a large ensemble made by the ECHAM5/OMI model indicates that the same mechanism operates on intra-seasonal time scales: a weak relationship is found between dry Mediterranean soils in June and low surface pressure in July-August. The dry soils are related to reduced rainfall in January-May. This applies for intra-seasonal time scales as well as for climate change due to greenhouse warming. Additional idealized simulations confirm the relationship between large surface warming and the development of a heat low. This induces a positive feedback: dryer Mediterranean soils in summer bring easterly winds over Europe increasing the continental character of Western Europe summer climate.