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Titel Tree-ring growth concordance across northwest Eurasia for the last 2000 years
VerfasserIn V. V. Shishov, T. M. Melvin, K. R. Briffa
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2009
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 11 (2009)
Datensatznummer 250020875
 
Zusammenfassung
This work describes variability in tree-ring growth concordance at several locations in the high latitudes of Eurasia, providing a wide regional comparison over a 2000-year period (Briffa et al., 2008). The study focuses on the nature of local and widespread tree-growth responses to recent warming seen in instrumental observations, available in northern regions for periods ranging from decades to a century. Ring-width measurements from the AD portions of selected long chronologies comprising data from a mixture of living and sub-fossil trees were reprocessed and used to create 3 long-term tree-ring chronologies: 1) Fennoscandia regional chronology (Grudd et al., 2002; Eronen et al., 2002; Helama et al. 2002), 2)Yamal regional chronology (Hantemirov & Shiyatov, 2002) and 3) Avam–Taimyr regional chronology (Naurzbaev et al., 2002; Sidorova et al., 2007). Moving Kendall's concordance coefficient was used to estimate a time-dependent spatial similarity in tree-ring growth (Briffa et al., 2008). Analysis of concordance coefficient provides strong evidence that the extent of recent widespread warming across northwest Eurasia, with respect to 100- to 200-year trends, is unprecedented in the last 2000 years. An equivalent analysis of simulated temperatures using the HadCM3 model fails to show a similar increase in concordance expected as a consequence of anthropogenic forcing.