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Titel A novel method to quantify the aerosol-cloud net synergy effect employing weather prediction model "errors"
VerfasserIn P. Alpert, I. Carmona
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2009
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 11 (2009)
Datensatznummer 250020598
 
Zusammenfassung
Aerosols have various effects on the atmosphere that are not generally incorporated in numerical weather predictions. Most of the operational models do not take realistic aerosol distributions into account in their radiation transfer, leading to model errors in temperature, cloudiness, precipitation, winds and other atmospheric variables. In this study we investigate the impact of aerosols, clouds and their interaction on the atmosphere. Using a multi-linear regression model to separate among predictor variables, we compare measurements of the MODIS/TERRA aerosol optical thickness (AOT) and MM5 model prediction output including errors in temperature, absolute humidity and horizontal wind and vertical temperature gradient over Central Israel. Based on 2001-2005 model outputs for temperature, we found that the aerosols increase the air temperature in the low altitudes (1000-850hPa), whereas the interaction between aerosols and clouds, or net aerosol-cloud synergy, cools the air. At 950 hPa, for instance, the temperature increases by 1.193