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| Titel |
The effect of ENSO-induced rainfall and circulation changes on the direct and indirect radiative forcing from Indonesian biomass-burning aerosols |
| VerfasserIn |
A. Chrastansky, L. D. Rotstayn |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1680-7316
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics ; 12, no. 23 ; Nr. 12, no. 23 (2012-12-03), S.11395-11416 |
| Datensatznummer |
250011637
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/acp-12-11395-2012.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
Emissions of biomass-burning aerosols from the Indonesian region are known to
vary in response to rainfall anomalies associated with the El Niño Southern
Oscillation (ENSO). For the severe El Niño-related drought in 1997, there
have been several attempts to estimate the direct radiative forcing from
increased aerosol emissions over Indonesia, as well as the associated
feedbacks on climate. However, these estimates have not considered indirect
aerosol effects. Another question that has not been addressed is whether the
effect of ENSO-related circulation and rainfall anomalies on radiative
forcing is significant relative to the effect of changes in emissions. In
this study, we analyse the direct and first indirect radiative forcing from
El Niño-related increased emissions of Indonesian biomass-burning aerosols,
with and without the influence of ENSO-related rainfall and circulation
anomalies.
We compare two experiments that are performed with the CSIRO-Mk3.6
atmospheric global climate model (GCM). The first experiment (AMIP) consists
of a pair of runs that respectively represent El Niño and La Niña
conditions. In these runs, the distribution of aerosols is simulated under
the influence of realistic Indonesian biomass-burning aerosol emissions and
sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for 1997 (El Niño) and 2000 (La Niña).
The second experiment (CLIM) is identical to AMIP, but is forced by
climatological SSTs, so that in CLIM meteorological differences between 1997
and 2000 are suppressed.
The comparison of AMIP and CLIM shows that the aerosol radiative forcing
anomalies associated with ENSO (El Niño minus La Niña) are substantially
stronger when ENSO-related SST anomalies are taken into account. For the
first indirect effect, the influence of SST-induced changes in rainfall and
circulation exceeds that of changes in emissions. For the direct aerosol
forcing, the influence of changes in SSTs and emissions are of comparable
magnitude. Averaged over the Indonesian region (5.6° N–11.2° S,
96.6° E–150.9° E), the first indirect forcing is −0.7 Wm−2 in CLIM and
−2.2 Wm−2 in AMIP during the months July to November. The direct
aerosol forcing at the top of the atmosphere (surface) is −1.0
(−5.3) Wm−2 in CLIM and −1.8 (−9.1) Wm−2 in AMIP during the same
period.
Our results suggest that (a) the indirect aerosol effect from biomass-burning
aerosols is strong enough to play an important role for impact assessments,
and (b) that impacts of biomass-burning aerosols would be considerably
underestimated if feedbacks of ENSO-related SST variations on radiative
forcing are not taken into account. |
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