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Titel |
Development of a management tool for reservoirs in Mediterranean environments based on uncertainty analysis |
VerfasserIn |
R. Gómez-Beas, A. Moñino, M. J. Polo |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 12, no. 5 ; Nr. 12, no. 5 (2012-05-29), S.1789-1797 |
Datensatznummer |
250010840
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-12-1789-2012.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
In compliance with the development of the Water Framework
Directive, there is a need for an integrated management of water
resources, which involves the elaboration of reservoir management
models. These models should include the operational and technical
aspects which allow us to forecast an optimal management in the
short term, besides the factors that may affect the volume of
water stored in the medium and long term. The climate fluctuations
of the water cycle that affect the reservoir watershed should be
considered, as well as the social and economic aspects of the
area. This paper shows the development of a management model for
Rules reservoir (southern Spain), through which the water supply
is regulated based on set criteria, in a sustainable way with
existing commitments downstream, with the supply capacity being
well established depending on demand, and the probability of
failure when the operating requirements are not fulfilled. The
results obtained allowed us: to find out the reservoir response at
different time scales, to introduce an uncertainty analysis and to
demonstrate the potential of the methodology proposed here as a
tool for decision making. |
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