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Titel Observing extreme events in incomplete state spaces with application to rainfall estimation from satellite images
VerfasserIn A. A. Tsonis Link zu Wikipedia, K. P. Georgakakos
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1023-5809
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 12, no. 2 ; Nr. 12, no. 2 (2005-02-02), S.195-200
Datensatznummer 250010482
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npg-12-195-2005.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Reconstructing the dynamics of nonlinear systems from observations requires the complete knowledge of its state space. In most cases, this is either impossible or at best very difficult. Here, by using a toy model, we investigate the possibility of deriving useful insights about the variability of the system from only a part of the complete state vector. We show that while some of the details of the variability might be lost, other details, especially extreme events, are successfully recovered. We then apply these ideas to the problem of rainfall estimation from satellite imagery. We show that, while reducing the number of observables reduces the correlation between actual and inferred precipitation amounts, good estimates for extreme events are still recoverable.
 
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