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Titel |
Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation |
VerfasserIn |
P. Lionello, F. Giorgi |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1680-7340
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Mediterranean storms and extreme events in an era of climate change ; Nr. 12 (2007-11-16), S.153-158 |
Datensatznummer |
250010371
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/adgeo-12-153-2007.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Future climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb)
precipitation in the
northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate
conditions. This paper analyzes the results
of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm
this opposite precipitation change and link it to the change
of cyclone activity.
The increase of the winter cyclone activity in future climate scenarios
over western Europe is responsible for the larger precipitation at the
northern coast of the basin,
though the bulk of the change is located outside the
Mediterranean region.
The reduction of cyclone activity
inside the Mediterranean region in future scenarios
is responsible
for the lower precipitation at the southern and eastern Mediterranean coast. |
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