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Titel Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: future climate scenarios in a regional simulation
VerfasserIn P. Lionello, F. Giorgi
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1680-7340
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Mediterranean storms and extreme events in an era of climate change ; Nr. 12 (2007-11-16), S.153-158
Datensatznummer 250010371
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/adgeo-12-153-2007.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Future climate projections show higher/lower winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) precipitation in the northern/southern Mediterranean region than in present climate conditions. This paper analyzes the results of regional model simulations of the A2 and B2 scenarios, which confirm this opposite precipitation change and link it to the change of cyclone activity. The increase of the winter cyclone activity in future climate scenarios over western Europe is responsible for the larger precipitation at the northern coast of the basin, though the bulk of the change is located outside the Mediterranean region. The reduction of cyclone activity inside the Mediterranean region in future scenarios is responsible for the lower precipitation at the southern and eastern Mediterranean coast.
 
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