 |
| Titel |
The surface climatology of the eastern Mediterranean region obtained in a three-member ensemble climate change simulation experiment |
| VerfasserIn |
S. O. Krichak, P. Alpert, K. Bassat, P. Kunin |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
|
| Sprache |
Englisch
|
| ISSN |
1680-7340
|
| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Mediterranean storms and extreme events in an era of climate change ; Nr. 12 (2007-07-06), S.67-80 |
| Datensatznummer |
250010360
|
| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/adgeo-12-67-2007.pdf |
|
|
|
|
|
| Zusammenfassung |
| Two configurations of RegCM3 regional climate model (RCM) have been used to
downscale results of two atmosphere-ocean global climate model (AOGCM)
simulations of the current (1961–1990) and future climates (2071–2100) over
the eastern Mediterranean (EM) region. The RCM domain covering the EM region
from northern Africa to central part of Asia Minor with grid spacing of 50 km
was used. Three sets of RCM simulations were completed. Results of the
RCM experiment support earlier projections of a temperature (annual
precipitation) increase (decrease) to the end of 21st century over the
EM. The roles of several major factors in controlling uncertainty of the
climate change estimates are evaluated. The main uncertainty factors appear to be associated
with possible inadequacies in RCM description of the EM-climate-controlling
developments over remotely located areas as well as those in the simulations
of the global climate and its trends by the AOGCMs. |
| |
|
| Teil von |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|