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Titel |
Normalised flood losses in Europe: 1970–2006 |
VerfasserIn |
J. I. Barredo |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 9, no. 1 ; Nr. 9, no. 1 (2009-02-09), S.97-104 |
Datensatznummer |
250006610
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-9-97-2009.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
This paper presents an assessment of normalised flood losses in Europe for
the period 1970–2006. Normalisation provides an estimate of the losses that
would occur if the floods from the past take place under current societal
conditions. Economic losses from floods are the result of both societal and
climatological factors. Failing to adjust for time-variant socio-economic
factors produces loss amounts that are not directly comparable over time, but
rather show an ever-growing trend for purely socio-economic reasons. This
study has used available information on flood losses from the Emergency
Events Database (EM-DAT) and the Natural Hazards Assessment Network (NATHAN).
Following the conceptual approach of previous studies, we normalised flood
losses by considering the effects of changes in population, wealth, and
inflation at the country level. Furthermore, we removed inter-country price
differences by adjusting the losses for purchasing power parities (PPP). We
assessed normalised flood losses in 31 European countries. These include the
member states of the European Union, Norway, Switzerland, Croatia, and the
Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Results show no detectable sign of human-induced climate change in normalised
flood losses in Europe. The observed increase in the original flood losses is
mostly driven by societal factors. |
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