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| Titel |
Climate change impact of wind energy availability in the Eastern Mediterranean using the regional climate model PRECIS |
| VerfasserIn |
A. Bloom, V. Kotroni, K. Lagouvardos |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 8, no. 6 ; Nr. 8, no. 6 (2008-11-24), S.1249-1257 |
| Datensatznummer |
250005896
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-8-1249-2008.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Global near-surface wind fields are projected to change as a result of
climate change. An enhanced knowledge of the changes in wind energy
availability in the twenty-first century is essential for improving the
development of wind energy production. We use the PRECIS regional model over
the East Mediterranean to dynamically downscale the results of the Had3CM
Atmosphere-Ocean coupled Global Circulation Model. Wind field changes during
the 21st century are determined by comparing the current climate
simulation (1961–1990) with the IPCC A2 emissions scenario simulation
(2071–2100). The consistency of the current climate simulation of wind
speeds is assessed by comparing its results to the ERA40 re-analysis data.
The comparison of the wind field from ERA40 re-analysis to that from the
PRECIS current climate simulation shows relatively large mean differences
that could partly be attributed to the difference in the spatial resolution
of the two sources of data. Wind speeds in 2071–2100 exhibit a general
increase over land and a decrease over the sea, with the exception of a
noticeable increase over the Aegean Sea. |
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