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| Titel |
Rainfall downscaling and flood forecasting: a case study in the Mediterranean area |
| VerfasserIn |
N. Rebora, L. Ferraris, J. Hardenberg, A. Provenzale |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 6, no. 4 ; Nr. 6, no. 4 (2006-07-12), S.611-619 |
| Datensatznummer |
250003612
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-6-611-2006.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| The prediction of the small-scale spatial-temporal pattern of
intense rainfall events is crucial for flood risk assessment in
small catchments and urban areas. In the absence of a full
deterministic modelling of small-scale rainfall, it is common
practice to resort to the use of stochastic downscaling models to
generate ensemble rainfall predictions to be used as inputs to
rainfall-runoff models. In this work we present an application of a
new spatial-temporal downscaling procedure, called RainFARM, to an
intense precipitation event predicted by the limited-area
meteorological model Lokal Model over north-west Italy. The
uncertainty in flood prediction associated with the small unresolved
scales of forecasted precipitation fields is evaluated by using an
ensemble of downscaled fields to drive a semi-distributed
rainfall-runoff model. |
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