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Titel Model system development and uncertainty for the provisionary management of extreme floods in large river basins
VerfasserIn K.-E. Lindenschmidt, K. Fleischbein, T. Petrow, S. Vorogushyn, S. Theobald, B. Merz
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1680-7340
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Proceedings of the 8th Workshop for Large Scale Hydrological Modelling - Oppurg 2004 ; Nr. 5 (2005-12-16), S.99-104
Datensatznummer 250002173
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/adgeo-5-99-2005.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
A research project is introduced in which a modelling system is being developed to quantify risks of extreme flooding in large river basins. In the system, computer models and modules are coupled to simulate the functional chain: hydrology - hydraulics - polder diversion - dyke failure - flooding - damage estimate - risk assessment. In order to reduce uncertainty in flood frequency analyses, data sets are complimented with information from historical chronicles and artwork. Probable maximum precipitation and discharge are calculated to indicate upper bounds of meteorological and hydrological extremes. Uncertainty analysis is investigated for different degrees of model complexity and compared at different basin scales.
 
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