Model-measurement comparisons of HOx in extremely clean
air ([NO]<3 ppt) are reported. Measurements were
made during the second Southern Ocean Photochemistry Experiment
(SOAPEX-2), held in austral summer 1999 at the Cape Grim Baseline
Air Pollution Station in north-western Tasmania, Australia.
The free-radical chemistry was studied using a zero-dimensional
box-model based upon the Master Chemical Mechanism (MCM). Two
versions of the model were used, with different levels of chemical
complexity, to explore the role of hydrocarbons upon free-radical
budgets under very clean conditions. The "detailed" model was
constrained to measurements of CO, CH4 and 17
NMHCs, while the "simple" model contained only the CO and
CH4 oxidation mechanisms, together with inorganic
chemistry. The OH and HO2 (HOx)
concentrations predicted by the two models agreed to within
5–10%.
The model results were compared with the HOx
concentrations measured by the FAGE (Fluorescence Assay by Gas
Expansion) technique during four days of clean Southern Ocean
marine boundary layer (MBL) air. The models overestimated
OH concentrations by about 10% on two days and about 20%
on the other two days. HO2 concentrations were measured
during two of these days and the models overestimated the measured
concentrations by about 40%. Better agreement with measured
HO2 was observed by using data from several MBL aerosol
measurements to estimate the aerosol surface area and by
increasing the HO2 uptake coefficient to unity. This
reduced the modelled HO2 overestimate by ~40%, with
little effect on OH, because of the poor HO2 to
OH conversion at the low ambient NOx concentrations.
Local sensitivity analysis and Morris One-At-A-Time analysis were
performed on the "simple" model, and showed the importance of
reliable measurements of j(O1D) and [HCHO] and of
the kinetic parameters that determine the efficiency of
O(1D) to OH and HCHO to HO2
conversion. A 2σ standard deviation of 30–40% for
OH and 25–30% for HO2 was estimated for the model
calculations using a Monte Carlo technique coupled with Latin
Hypercube Sampling (LHS). |