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Titel |
Strong earthquakes can be predicted: a multidisciplinary method for strong earthquake prediction |
VerfasserIn |
J. Z. Li, Z. Q. Bai, W. S. Chen, Y. Q. Xia, Y. R. Liu, Z. Q. Ren |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 3, no. 6 ; Nr. 3, no. 6, S.703-712 |
Datensatznummer |
250001324
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-3-703-2003.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
The imminent
prediction on a group of strong earthquakes that occurred in Xinjiang,
China in April 1997 is introduced in detail. The prediction was made on
the basis of comprehensive analyses on the results obtained by multiple
innovative methods including measurements of crustal stress, observation
of infrasonic wave in an ultra low frequency range, and recording of
abnormal behavior of certain animals. Other successful examples of
prediction are also enumerated. The statistics shows that above 40% of 20
total predictions jointly presented by J. Z. Li, Z. Q. Ren and others
since 1995 can be regarded as effective. With the above methods,
precursors of almost every strong earthquake around the world that
occurred in recent years were recorded in our laboratory. However, the
physical mechanisms of the observed precursors are yet impossible to
explain at this stage. |
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